Setanta Sports Offer

Setanta have reduced their monthly subscription fee to just £5 per month*, in time to get the Calzaghe v Kesszer fight



* £5 per month for the first 3 months, £9.99 thereafter

Crystal Palace v Watford

The over 2.5 goals just about came good in the Reading v Newcastle game, so tonights bet is another over 2.5 goals:

Crystal Palace v Watford, over 2.5 goals, £100 at odds of 1.97

Reading v Newcastle

So not a good start today, Charlton v QPR ended 0-1

Next bet is over 2.5 goals in Reading v Newcastle, £100 at odds of 1.98

Charlton v QPR

OK, first bet of the weekend will be over 2.5 goals in the Charlton v QPR game, £57 at odds of 2.0

more bets later

Monday Betting

Right, here is today's bet:

Newcastle v Tottenham, over 2.5 goals, £100 at odds of 1.84 to win £84.00.

There's been quite a few goals in the last few meetings so hopefully that trend continues tonight!

Football Betting Blog update....

....sort of, I haven't updated the blog for a week, I didn't really fancy any bets on the international games due to alot of teams not needing to win, I did opt for overs in the end of week Conference and League 2 games but wont be including them here as it could just be seen as aftertiming ;o)

I went to the Merseyside Derby yesterday so didn't blog any bets as I didn't get time.

I'm also taking part in a Betfair Challenge with a friend to see who can reach £5,000 first with a starting bank of £500, it's being logged here

England v Estonia

England kick off in 15 minutes, there isn't much to bet on in this game really but I will put £10 on 3-0 England at odds of 6.0 to win £50.

Other bets for today will include:

Cyprus v Wales, a lay of the draw, £50 at odds of 3.50 (liability of £125)

Denmark v Spain, a lay of the draw, £50 at odds of 3.45 (liability of ££122.50)

Ireland v Germany, Over 2.5 goals, £50 at odds of 2.08 to win £54

Damn you Oxford

Well done to Oxford for throwing away a 3-0 lead at half time, Torquay managed to claw back to earn a 3-3 draw, which means i'm £130 down now.

International Games this weekend so i'll take a look at those soon!

Oxford Utd v Torquay

A bit thin on the ground for games today, but Oxford Utd take on Torquay in the Conference so I will be having a bet on this with a lay of the draw, £50 at odds of 3.6 (liability of £130)

100% profit

Leeds beat Darlington 1-0 to ensure the draw lay bet came in, I deliberately put less on the overs bet so that they didn't cancel each other out if overs didn't come in.

It now puts the profit at £503 over 5 days and 11 winning bets out of 16 with a strike rate of 68.75%, which I wish was higher but it's the profit figure that really counts!!

There isn't any games that interest me today, Tenerife v Malaga is the only game in-play tonight on Betfair and being Spanish Cup I wont be risking anything!

Darlington v Leeds

Last night's bets cancelled themselves out as the game finished 1-0.

Today's bets are:

Darlington v Leeds, draw lay, £60 at odds of 3.65 (liability of £159)

Darlington v Leeds, over 2.5 goals, £30 at odds of 2.18 to win £35.40

QPR v Norwich

Just the one game this evening QPR v Norwich, these games are normally full of goals so I will be laying the draw and backing over 2.5 goals.

Draw lay, £50 at odds of 3.65 (liability of £132.50)

backing over 2.5 goals, £50 at odds of 2.04 to win £52

A very good weekend

Thankyou Santander!! another £50 added to the total making the profit £473 after 12 bets.

It's quite good doing this paper betting, with real money I'd bet on every game/market available almost and lose sight of the whole point of how I made the £1600 before, which was just basically betting on laying draws and backing over 2.5 goals.

Chasing losses doesn't help either, I think i'll stick to the paper betting for now and start using real money once my mindset is right again!

The stats now stand at 9 winning bets out of 12, 75% strike rate!

Still making profit

Well the Arsenal result came in but not the Reading overs so they offset each other, Chelsea won so that adds another £273 to the profit which now stands at £423.

So far from 8 wins from 11 bets a strike rate of 73%

Next bet:

Santander vs Valladolid draw lay, £50 at odds of 3.5 (liability of £125)

A good days profit

Well Espanyol managed to win 2-1 away to Valencia, Valencia's second defeat at home in a week after going 1-0 up.

The bank now stands at £850, a nice (fantasy) profit of £350 so far.

Now for Sundays bets, the early game is Arsenal v Sunderland, over 2.5 goals looks generous at 1.7 but I can't see Sunderland scoring so makes it a tough choice, to lay the draw it's at odds of 7, as I think Arsenal will win I am going to lay the draw for £50 at odds of 7 (liability of £310)

Reading v Derby over 2.5 goals, £50 at 1.95 to win £47.50

Chelsea to beat Bolton, £100 at odds of 1.73 to win £73

that'll do for now until after the Arsenal result has come in

Spanish Football Bet

Unfortunately Bristol City v Sheff United finished 2-0, so a loss of £74 puts the bank down to £750.

There's only one game in La Liga today so the next bet is to lay the draw for £100 in Valencia v Espanyol, odds of 3.90 (liability of £290)

I was tempted to back Valencia to win at odds around 1.74 and over 2.5 goals looks good at 2.10 but i'll stick with just laying the draw.

Going well so far

So over 2.5 goals in Southampton v West Brom was easy and obvious, so 1.74 was a good price and Leicester did the business early on to win 2-0.

The bank now stands at £824, Betfair has been down so i'm going for over 2.5 goals in Bristol City v Sheffield United, £74 at odds of 2.48 to hopefully win £109.52

Championship Betting

Well united obliged with the overs putting the bank now at £700

Next up is over 2.5 goals in Southampton v West Brom, £100 at odds of 1.74 to win £74

and a draw lay in Sheff Wed v Leicester, £50 at odds of 3.4 (liability of £120)

Man Utd v Wigan

Thanks to 10 man Dortmund winning 2-1 the bank now stands at £620 after Accrington and Wrexham only managing a 1-1 draw.

Today's first bet is:

Man Utd v Wigan over 2.5goals, £100 stake at odds of 1.80

The last 5 games between these teams have always been overs and United have struggled to score overs for a while so it's about time they did.

1860 Munich win 2-0

A 2-0 win for 1860 Munich to get off to a good start puts the bank at £600.

Next bets are:

Accrington Stanley v Wrexham over 2.5 goals, £50 at odds of 1.90

Dortmund v Bochum draw lay at odds of 3.45 for £70 (liability of £171.50)

Fantasy Betting

Ok, let's start with a fantasy bank of £500 and these are bets that I would make if i'd put some physical cash into betfair, the only difference is I wont be trading on these bets, they'll be left to run.

First bet is to lay the draw:

Carl Zeiss Jena v 1860 Munich odds at 3.60 for £100 (liability of £260)

Give it a rest!

Well that was typical wasn't it, a 95th minute equaliser and CSKA draw, 1-1 for the Aberdeen game so decided to put £35 on Blackburn to win 3-0, so they let in an early goal to Clarissa or Larissa whatever they are called!! then decide to back Blackburn to win for £6 and when they scored realised i'd backed the away team, how much bad luck do you need???

So for now that's it, I really will give it a break for a few months but I will just make 'paper bets' and post them here, it'll be just my luck to make a fortune on paper!!

I'll post up any bets later today

The end is nigh

It's all going wrong, just when I think i'm getting somewhere I lose focus and bet stupid!!

Laying draws big, correct scores, over 2.5 goals, you name it it's gone wrong!!

Tonight i've layed the draw in CSKA Sofia v Toulouse for £20 and done over 2.5 goals in Dnipro v Aberdeen

After that we'll see what's left to play with.

Long Term Bets - Top Goalscorers

I don't normally like to tie money up in long term bets such as League winners or top goalscorers but I have placed a couple so far, they are:

Premiership top goalscorer - Fernando Torres - £20 @ 7.82
Championship top goalscorer - James Beattie - £15 @ 8.2

also the one i've mentioned before
Premiership champions - Liverpool - £50 @ 7.6

All three to come in would be perfect!

September P&L

Ok so here is septembers P&L, it isn't too bad considering losing £220 last sunday, £243.86



I hope October can be even better now the teams are starting to take form, excpet Chelsea, I hope they keep not-winning!